A Child Abuse Prediction Model Fails Poor Families

It’s late November 2016, and I’m squeezed into the far nook of an extended row of grey cubicles within the name screening middle for the Allegheny County Workplace of Kids, Youth and Households (CYF) youngster neglect and abuse hotline. I’m sharing a desk and a tiny purple footstool with consumption screener Pat Gordon. We’re each finding out the Key Info and Demographics System (KIDS), a blue display crammed with case notes, demographic knowledge, and program statistics. We’re targeted on the data of two households: each are poor, white, and residing within the metropolis of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Each have been referred to CYF by a mandated reporter, knowledgeable who’s legally required to report any suspicion youngster could also be liable to hurt from their caregiver. Pat and I are competing to see if we will guess how a brand new predictive danger mannequin the county is utilizing to forecast youngster abuse and neglect, referred to as the Allegheny Household Screening Device (AFST), will rating them.

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